Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.052225 0.061589 0.072071 0.084662 0.099369 0.115993 0.136203
2025-06-22 0.037159 0.049061 0.063873 0.083617 0.109203 0.141196 0.184201
2025-06-29 0.028060 0.040466 0.057231 0.081451 0.115449 0.161366 0.227979
2025-07-06 0.021944 0.034067 0.051612 0.078708 0.119331 0.177774 0.268010
2025-07-13 0.018690 0.030918 0.049691 0.080386 0.129062 0.202948 0.323202
2025-07-20 0.015977 0.027989 0.047434 0.080898 0.136695 0.225528 0.377031
2025-07-27 0.013863 0.025595 0.045533 0.081485 0.144224 0.248523 0.434081
2025-08-03 0.012261 0.023768 0.044218 0.082720 0.152784 0.273967 0.498055
2025-08-10 0.011133 0.022583 0.043798 0.085366 0.163997 0.305050 0.575316
2025-08-17 0.009474 0.020094 0.040595 0.082367 0.164429 0.316967 0.619512
2025-08-24 0.008396 0.018569 0.038971 0.082088 0.169828 0.338393 0.683599
2025-08-31 0.007390 0.017020 0.037059 0.080921 0.173245 0.356315 0.742870
2025-09-07 0.006786 0.016254 0.036678 0.082932 0.183525 0.389170 0.836377
2025-09-14 0.006007 0.014971 0.035012 0.081976 0.187502 0.409890 0.907895
2025-09-21 0.005252 0.013609 0.032966 0.079865 0.188662 0.424842 0.969041
2025-09-28 0.004566 0.012291 0.030812 0.077176 0.188126 0.436017 1.023239
2025-10-05 0.004231 0.011797 0.030522 0.078823 0.197745 0.470542 1.133305
2025-10-12 0.003869 0.011167 0.029807 0.079326 0.204704 0.499832 1.234811
2025-10-19 0.003550 0.010600 0.029161 0.079901 0.211900 0.530465 1.342987
2025-10-26 0.003294 0.010162 0.028784 0.081113 0.220838 0.566225 1.467557
2025-11-02 0.003120 0.009931 0.028922 0.083710 0.233666 0.612869 1.624157
2025-11-09 0.002747 0.009040 0.027122 0.080767 0.231515 0.622037 1.687762
2025-11-16 0.002512 0.008531 0.026318 0.080493 0.236531 0.649980 1.802768